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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +163.93₴

Invest 260.31₴

Average return 424.24₴

ROI +63.0%

Chance of profit 78%

With float: invest at least 642.41 ₴, profit at most −218.18 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

186.38 ₴

at 23.30

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

45.70 ₴

at 45.70

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

28.23 ₴

at 28.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 260.31 ₴ +163.93 (+63.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

163.08 ₴

at 23.30

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

45.70 ₴

at 45.70

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

28.23 ₴

at 28.23

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

36.75 ₴

at 36.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.76 ₴ +157.80 (+57.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

139.78 ₴

at 23.30

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

45.70 ₴

at 45.70

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

28.23 ₴

at 28.23

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

73.49 ₴

at 36.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 287.21 ₴ +151.67 (+52.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

93.19 ₴

at 23.30

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

45.70 ₴

at 45.70

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

28.23 ₴

at 28.23

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

146.98 ₴

at 36.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 314.11 ₴ +139.42 (+44.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 77%
Losing outcome 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

982.22 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337.84 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

253.58 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

344.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

413.67 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.55 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

741.79 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +85.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +126.03 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2415515 · The Bank Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 150.60₴ · invest 270.83₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074169; MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.003648

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build