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The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +52.81₴

Invest 667.47₴

Average return 720.28₴

ROI +7.9%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 1 656.87 ₴, profit at most −936.60 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SSG 08 | Necropos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

500.33 ₴

at 62.54

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

101.42 ₴

at 101.42

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

65.71 ₴

at 65.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 667.47 ₴ +52.81 (+7.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 348.14 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

524.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 800.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

262.11 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

334.45 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081499

356.47 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

1 233.95 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

455.29 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

347.16 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −60.37 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4.47 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2428076 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 54.56₴ · invest 623.99₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077346; MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New): float at most 0.005697 instead of 0.006428
Craft 2435134 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 50.80₴ · invest 684.77₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.077346; MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.006428

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build