The CS20 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +47 738.93₴

Invest 105 930.59₴

Average return 153 669.52₴

ROI +45.1%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 249 896.70 ₴, profit at most −96 227.18 ₴

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −91 877.14 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

3 069.03 ₴

at 3 069.03

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

102 861.57 ₴

at 25 715.39

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 105 930.59 ₴ +47 738.93 (+45.1%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 14.0% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −889 ₴

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

12 276.11 ₴

at 3 069.03

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

25 715.39 ₴

at 25 715.39

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 37 991.50 ₴ +11 442.66 (+30.1%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 67%
Above the Steam cap 10%

Order

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 346.27 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 299.96 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 846.86 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 664.60 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 373.79 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 980.12 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 744.92 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 352.41 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 388.78 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 471.55 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 923.27 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 089.57 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550 601.22 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 372.28 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 483 269.80 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

449 470.39 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 099.06 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

961 866.62 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 526.00 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 080.26 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 433.18 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 978.37 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 729.25 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 808.34 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 345.13 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 946.64 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

29 938.96 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 020.28 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 010.53 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 884.06 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 462.32 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 345.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 889.31 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45 777.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +46 920.38 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2445333 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 52 880.28₴ · invest 112 061.60₴
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445334 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 52 880.28₴ · invest 112 061.60₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445887 · The Recoil Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 52 583.77₴ · invest 106 458.54₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445888 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 52 583.77₴ · invest 106 458.54₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445131 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 52 481.56₴ · invest 106 697.75₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445132 · The Clutch Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 52 481.56₴ · invest 106 697.75₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445889 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 51 627.44₴ · invest 107 551.87₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445890 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 51 627.44₴ · invest 107 551.87₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445897 · The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 51 323.63₴ · invest 107 718.68₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012831 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445898 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 51 323.63₴ · invest 107 718.68₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012831 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2444849 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 49 143.07₴ · invest 112 770.90₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2444850 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 49 143.07₴ · invest 112 770.90₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2445217 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 48 432.68₴ · invest 105 730.83₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2445218 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 48 432.68₴ · invest 105 730.83₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2445907 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 48 398.11₴ · invest 107 613.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445908 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 48 398.11₴ · invest 107 613.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445881 · The Phoenix Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 48 169.21₴ · invest 107 842.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2445882 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 48 169.21₴ · invest 107 842.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2445903 · The Vanguard Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 47 971.08₴ · invest 108 040.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445904 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 47 971.08₴ · invest 108 040.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2444933 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 47 738.93₴ · invest 105 930.59₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2445891 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 47 626.21₴ · invest 108 385.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445892 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 47 626.21₴ · invest 108 385.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build