The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +20 603.06₴

Invest 39 669.40₴

Average return 60 272.46₴

ROI +51.9%

Chance of profit 71%

With float: invest at least 93 229.93 ₴, profit at most −32 957.47 ₴

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 1.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −24 815.44 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

2 869.26 ₴

at 2 869.26

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

36 800.14 ₴

at 9 200.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 39 669.40 ₴ +20 603.06 (+51.9%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 773 ₴

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

8 607.78 ₴

at 2 869.26

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

18 400.07 ₴

at 9 200.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 007.85 ₴ +11 707.86 (+43.4%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 727 ₴

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

11 477.05 ₴

at 2 869.26

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

9 200.03 ₴

at 9 200.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 677.08 ₴ +7 260.26 (+35.1%)

What you get 74 outcomes

Profitable outcome 71%
Losing outcome 27%
About break-even 0%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 628.09 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 513.44 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 879.89 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 569.23 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 713.95 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 622.80 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 829.97 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 398.28 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 016.32 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 420.56 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 375.61 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 204.98 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

209 722.88 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 877.38 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 897.98 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 780.22 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 842.52 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 980.57 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 709.83 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 484.43 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195 969.09 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 234.74 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 820.28 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

5 151.14 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 041.41 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 739.04 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 056.98 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 399.64 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 690.26 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 494.70 ₴ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 820.50 ₴ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

25 960.10 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

24 724.43 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

33 350.14 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

16 895.40 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

37 609.64 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 406.93 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 870.89 ₴ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 787.29 ₴ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 227.61 ₴ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 403.01 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 686.87 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 888.85 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 007.09 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 153.14 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 538.24 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

11 391.53 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 941.85 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 867.54 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 428.93 ₴ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 088.42 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 386.87 ₴ 0.38%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 465.24 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 696.31 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

48 257.03 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

43 270.18 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

46 283.74 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

23 484.80 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

76 980.57 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 499.56 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 355.89 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 432.32 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 889.72 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 725.64 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 282.28 ₴ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife

no wear

3 669.55 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Navaja Knife

no wear

1 937.10 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife

no wear

10 080.63 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife

no wear

15 837.63 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2 869.26 → 6 197.60 ₴

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 36 800.14 → 87 032.32 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20 015.91 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20 410.72 ₴ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2444819 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 21 313.45₴ · invest 46 709.47₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2444822 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 21 313.45₴ · invest 46 709.47₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2445181 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 20 603.06₴ · invest 39 669.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2445409 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 20 568.50₴ · invest 41 552.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445412 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 20 568.50₴ · invest 41 552.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445339 · The Phoenix Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 20 339.59₴ · invest 41 781.38₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2445342 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20 339.59₴ · invest 41 781.38₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2445397 · The Vanguard Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 20 141.46₴ · invest 41 979.51₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445400 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 20 141.46₴ · invest 41 979.51₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2444901 · The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 19 909.31₴ · invest 39 869.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2444905 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 19 909.31₴ · invest 39 869.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2445369 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 19 796.59₴ · invest 42 324.38₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445372 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 19 796.59₴ · invest 42 324.38₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445315 · The Huntsman Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 19 639.50₴ · invest 40 467.30₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445318 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 19 639.50₴ · invest 40 467.30₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2444739 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 19 534.75₴ · invest 42 586.23₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012668 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2444741 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 19 534.75₴ · invest 42 586.23₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012668 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445283 · The Fracture Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 19 518.12₴ · invest 39 901.87₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2445286 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 19 518.12₴ · invest 39 901.87₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 74 outcomes

More

How to build