The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +137 903.28₸

Invest 470 560.06₸

Average return 608 463.34₸

ROI +29.3%

Chance of profit 67%

With float: invest at least 1 092 568.27 ₸, profit at most −484 104.94 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 150 ₸

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 1.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −320 606.20 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

99 054.84 ₸

at 99 054.84

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

371 505.22 ₸

at 92 876.30

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 470 560.06 ₸ +137 903.28 (+29.3%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 3.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −118 158 ₸

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

198 109.68 ₸

at 99 054.84

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

278 628.91 ₸

at 92 876.30

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 476 738.60 ₸ +22 914.75 (+4.8%)

What you get 74 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 27%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

601 958.26 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

721 943.35 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

776 118.85 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

540 792.77 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

673 491.57 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

430 286.28 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

533 329.79 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

771 256.89 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

716 924.88 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

680 624.86 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

680 171.11 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 687.45 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 117 197.12 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

644 855.77 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

634 968.54 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

633 779.72 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

482 980.47 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

777 135.24 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 307.91 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

630 793.59 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 978 349.67 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

779 701.19 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

48 661.74 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

52 001.83 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

91 275.00 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

68 032.00 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

91 432.15 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84 796.12 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

309 824.67 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 375.00 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 568.72 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

262 072.73 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

249 598.43 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

336 676.72 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

170 562.70 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

379 677.34 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

125 250.62 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

553 933.34 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

108 900.01 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153 725.95 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 591.85 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

218 933.61 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

99 830.00 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

101 023.68 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

92 402.88 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

66 004.95 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

114 999.91 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 174.63 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 424.49 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276 900.87 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 654.28 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 762.40 ₸ 0.38%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

146 029.70 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

299 790.61 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

487 164.99 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

436 821.71 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

467 244.18 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

237 084.05 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

777 135.24 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 328.23 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245 877.87 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

287 030.29 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

614 694.68 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

774 561.64 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194 658.73 ₸ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife

no wear

37 044.92 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Navaja Knife

no wear

19 555.42 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife

no wear

101 766.13 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife

no wear

159 884.28 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 99 054.84 → 213 958.46 ₸

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 371 505.22 → 878 609.84 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +131 975.80 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +135 961.54 ₸ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2445289 · The Gallery Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 151 283.93₸ · invest 437 539.84₸
sale unreliable marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012584 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2445292 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 151 283.93₸ · invest 437 539.84₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012584 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2445423 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 142 073.57₸ · invest 485 050.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −2 470 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012015 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2445425 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 142 073.57₸ · invest 485 050.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −2 470 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012015 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2445271 · The Falchion Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 139 595.95₸ · invest 452 779.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)
Craft 2445274 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 139 595.95₸ · invest 452 779.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)
Craft 2445312 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 137 903.28₸ · invest 470 560.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 150 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 74 outcomes

More

How to build