The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +35 182.95₽

Invest 77 484.66₽

Average return 112 667.61₽

ROI +45.4%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 181 614.97 ₽, profit at most −68 947.37 ₽

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −50 046.35 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0121

7 981.70 ₽

at 7 981.70

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0121

69 502.96 ₽

at 17 375.74

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 77 484.66 ₽ +35 182.95 (+45.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 088 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0110

15 963.40 ₽

at 7 981.70

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0110

52 127.22 ₽

at 17 375.74

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 68 090.62 ₽ +23 053.69 (+33.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 160 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

23 945.10 ₽

at 7 981.70

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

34 751.48 ₽

at 17 375.74

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 58 696.58 ₽ +10 924.44 (+18.6%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 23%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 617.21 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135 064.59 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 200.00 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 174.08 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 000.00 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 500.00 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 777.87 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

144 290.40 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134 125.71 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

127 334.53 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

127 249.64 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 156.24 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

396 095.29 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 642.68 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 792.93 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 570.52 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 358.28 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 390.15 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 666.42 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 011.86 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 119.05 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145 870.20 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 896.14 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

20 886.15 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

25 189.04 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

123 534.20 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

93 980.58 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 996.36 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 934.65 ₽ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 999.00 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 999.99 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

9 815.97 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +34 378.08 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34 797.23 ₽ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2445419 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 35 498.86₽ · invest 81 826.56₽
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445421 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 35 498.86₽ · invest 81 826.56₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445351 · The Prisma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 35 243.15₽ · invest 77 018.62₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445354 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 35 243.15₽ · invest 77 018.62₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445406 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 35 182.95₽ · invest 77 484.66₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2445327 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 34 266.52₽ · invest 88 782.09₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445330 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 34 266.52₽ · invest 88 782.09₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445301 · The Gamma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 721.29₽ · invest 83 132.00₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445304 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 33 721.29₽ · invest 83 132.00₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2444977 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 33 576.63₽ · invest 82 409.37₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2444979 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 576.63₽ · invest 82 409.37₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445321 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 529.78₽ · invest 76 630.17₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445324 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 33 529.78₽ · invest 76 630.17₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445295 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 489.38₽ · invest 83 363.91₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445298 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 33 489.38₽ · invest 83 363.91₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445057 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 33 369.47₽ · invest 82 616.53₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445059 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 369.47₽ · invest 82 616.53₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445389 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 321.46₽ · invest 80 791.49₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445391 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 33 321.46₽ · invest 80 791.49₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445277 · The Fever Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 125.54₽ · invest 77 568.62₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445280 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 33 125.54₽ · invest 77 568.62₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2444657 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 33 058.76₽ · invest 84 266.66₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2444659 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 33 058.76₽ · invest 84 266.66₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445377 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 32 886.05₽ · invest 79 338.13₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445380 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 32 886.05₽ · invest 79 338.13₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445017 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 32 643.23₽ · invest 83 342.77₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445019 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 32 643.23₽ · invest 83 342.77₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445267 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 32 392.22₽ · invest 80 465.73₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2445269 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 32 392.22₽ · invest 80 465.73₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.012146

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

More

How to build