The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −2 935.06₴

Invest 10 918.40₴

Average return 7 983.34₴

ROI −26.9%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest 24 495.17 ₴, profit −16 511.84 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −4 097.26 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4040

3 192.20 ₴

at 3 192.20

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2289

7 726.20 ₴

at 1 931.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 10 918.40 ₴ −2 935.06 (−26.9%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

23 138.09 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121764

11 861.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

8 146.04 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

6 671.90 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

6 943.32 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

5 169.56 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

5 150.91 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

11 661.96 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

3 249.63 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

5 200.32 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

17 610.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

70 237.84 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

38 210.26 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

40 251.57 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

51 695.56 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

37 736.36 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

30 188.96 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

14 613.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

4 449.37 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.290588

5 167.31 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 754.65 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

3 176.81 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

3 547.53 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

6 141.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

2 912.12 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

3 078.81 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2 798.76 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

2 248.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

1 906.15 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

10 499.60 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

3 799.40 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

4 922.14 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 855.25 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

3 044.49 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

2 998.95 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

12 772.17 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

3 793.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.290588

4 779.87 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 541.18 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

3 000.36 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

2 991.67 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) × 1 34% of the wear range fits ×2.00 3 192.20 → 6 372.60 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 4 34% of the wear range fits ×2.35 7 726.20 → 18 122.57 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.447058724

outcomes come out up to 0.035764, 0.121764, 0.447058, 0.447058, 0.447058, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.000000, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.447058, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.290588, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.447058, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.447058, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.290588, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3 760.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2 833.71 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2448778 · The Prisma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 821.74₴ · invest 10 664.78₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.238125 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448783 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −2 821.74₴ · invest 10 664.78₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.238125 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448650 · The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 838.78₴ · invest 10 052.50₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.277058 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448655 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −2 838.78₴ · invest 10 052.50₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.277058 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448861 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 841.78₴ · invest 9 720.20₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.235294 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448869 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −2 841.78₴ · invest 9 720.20₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.235294 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448722 · The Huntsman Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 903.40₴ · invest 9 685.79₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.232936 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448727 · The CS20 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −2 903.40₴ · invest 9 685.79₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.232936 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448614 · The Danger Zone Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 931.44₴ · invest 10 283.56₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.263513 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448619 · The CS20 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −2 931.44₴ · invest 10 283.56₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.263513 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448630 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −2 935.06₴ · invest 10 918.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2448711 · The Horizon Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 938.83₴ · invest 10 505.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.230680 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448716 · The CS20 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −2 938.83₴ · invest 10 505.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.230680 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448732 · The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 955.69₴ · invest 9 136.18₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.244803 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448736 · The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −2 955.69₴ · invest 9 136.18₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.244803 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448917 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −3 003.42₴ · invest 11 862.78₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.223451 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448924 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −3 003.42₴ · invest 11 862.78₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.223451 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448624 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −3 014.53₴ · invest 10 918.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn): float at most 0.404554 instead of 0.404015; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.230680 instead of 0.228909
Craft 2448631 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −3 014.53₴ · invest 10 918.40₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.230680 instead of 0.228909; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn): float at most 0.404554 instead of 0.404015

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build