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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +146.23₽

Invest 434.20₽

Average return 580.43₽

ROI +33.7%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 1 118.32 ₽, profit at most −537.89 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

383.94 ₽

at 42.66

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

50.26 ₽

at 50.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 434.20 ₽ +146.23 (+33.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

16.19 ₽

at 16.19

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

255.96 ₽

at 42.66

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

50.00 ₽

at 50.00

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

100.52 ₽

at 50.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 422.67 ₽ +97.04 (+23.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 107.73 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

468.31 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

531.21 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.225999

268.71 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

497.41 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.169999

237.90 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

408.96 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Militia Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Cache Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +56.16 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +129.47 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2456852 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 159.26₽ · invest 410.89₽
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075773 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2455809 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 158.88₽ · invest 444.31₽
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2456910 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 151.39₽ · invest 405.49₽
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077166 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2456892 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 150.37₽ · invest 413.74₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076014 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2456801 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 149.19₽ · invest 415.87₽
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2456981 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 147.95₽ · invest 423.68₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075862 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2457070 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 147.84₽ · invest 408.17₽
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077271 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2457141 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 146.65₽ · invest 433.85₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2456955 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 146.19₽ · invest 409.81₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2457284 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 143.91₽ · invest 424.37₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075735
Craft 2456861 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 143.39₽ · invest 429.83₽
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075735

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build