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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +12.78₴

Invest 75.87₴

Average return 88.65₴

ROI +16.8%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 198.48 ₴, profit at most −109.83 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈5% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2065

2.26 ₴

at 2.26

souvenirSteam

×9

Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2065

73.61 ₴

at 8.18

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 75.87 ₴ +12.78 (+16.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.023999

101.75 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

151.70 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

110.50 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Tall Grass

Field-Tested

float up to 0.194999

79.45 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

28.49 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

13.10 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

16.09 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.140999

29.65 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.87 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.47 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2457476 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 13.93₴ · invest 77.37₴
Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested); Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Field-Tested): float at most 0.201923 instead of 0.206557
Craft 2458371 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 13.64₴ · invest 75.87₴
Dual Berettas | Drift Wood: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; FAMAS | CaliCamo: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172131 instead of 0.206557; Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172131 instead of 0.206557
Craft 2461957 · The Ancient Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 12.58₴ · invest 75.22₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Hieroglyph (Battle-Scarred) instead of Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested); Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Field-Tested): float at most 0.190753 instead of 0.206557

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build