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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 026.55₽

Invest 24 078.28₽

Average return 26 104.83₽

ROI +8.4%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 55 943.96 ₽, profit at most −29 839.13 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −8 355.71 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

13 062.42 ₽

at 13 062.42

souvenirSteam

×8

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

9 150.88 ₽

at 1 143.86

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1 864.98 ₽

at 1 864.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 078.28 ₽ +2 026.55 (+8.4%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.035353

13 648.80 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 531.09 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Desert Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.042424

105 941.48 ₽ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 only The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 778.73 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 553.84 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Chroma 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build