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The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3.62$

Invest 7.17$

Average return 10.79$

ROI +50.4%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 17.04 $, profit at most −6.25 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

2.73 $

at 0.91

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3.63 $

at 0.61

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.82 $

at 0.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.17 $ +3.62 (+50.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

1.82 $

at 0.91

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1.82 $

at 0.61

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4.09 $

at 0.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.72 $ +3.31 (+42.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

3.63 $

at 0.91

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

0.31 $

at 0.31

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3.03 $

at 0.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.97 $ +3.58 (+51.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1.99 $

at 0.50

Steam

×5

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

4.54 $

at 0.91

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

0.31 $

at 0.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.85 $ +2.51 (+36.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 15%
About break-even 23%

about break-even

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.13 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.37 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

18.20 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

15.74 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5.22 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Militia Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Cache Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 30 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2494214 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.90$ · invest 5.27$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2490467 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.84$ · invest 5.72$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2487003 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.79$ · invest 7.20$
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2473903 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.79$ · invest 6.80$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2492203 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.78$ · invest 6.19$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2472978 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.72$ · invest 5.53$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2493260 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.67$ · invest 6.55$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2467219 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.55$ · invest 5.59$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)
Craft 2484142 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.52$ · invest 5.99$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2494662 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.50$ · invest 6.92$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2465943 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.45$ · invest 5.78$
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.003637 instead of 0.004399; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2461792 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.39$ · invest 6.53$
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2481710 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.39$ · invest 5.38$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2478654 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.36$ · invest 5.22$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2488272 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.35$ · invest 5.32$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2486369 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.32$ · invest 7.00$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075181 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075181 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2479915 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.31$ · invest 6.96$
outcome without sales rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2491446 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.30$ · invest 5.91$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)
Craft 2456552 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.27$ · invest 5.63$
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074010 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2491028 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.17$ · invest 6.73$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2490468 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.16$ · invest 4.82$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076010 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2461793 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.15$ · invest 4.93$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2494383 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.14$ · invest 5.68$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2475079 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.10$ · invest 5.60$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2471833 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.08$ · invest 4.31$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074044 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2486370 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.06$ · invest 5.55$
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075409 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2492546 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.04$ · invest 5.60$
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2467221 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.93$ · invest 5.01$
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075680 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2490469 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.93$ · invest 5.44$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075027
Craft 2492205 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.92$ · invest 5.67$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075027

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build