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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +153.77₽

Invest 243.34₽

Average return 397.11₽

ROI +63.2%

Chance of profit 98%

With float: invest at least 607.08 ₽, profit at most −209.98 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

173.34 ₽

at 19.26

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

70.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 243.34 ₽ +153.77 (+63.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

96.30 ₽

at 19.26

Steam

×4

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

208.08 ₽

at 52.02

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

70.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 374.38 ₽ +120.78 (+32.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

457.37 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

373.02 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

615.78 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

342.07 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

354.18 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

541.73 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 720.77 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

751.44 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

444.60 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

93.40 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Militia Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Militia Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +108.63 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +146.26 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2477429 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 168.85₽ · invest 213.77₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477130 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 167.73₽ · invest 223.25₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2471010 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 167.66₽ · invest 200.29₽
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2473166 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 166.55₽ · invest 245.86₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2472053 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 165.18₽ · invest 219.23₽
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476865 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 163.00₽ · invest 213.08₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2466627 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 160.48₽ · invest 205.27₽
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476765 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 155.91₽ · invest 199.21₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2476669 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 155.07₽ · invest 194.89₽
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477020 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 154.97₽ · invest 197.57₽
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476960 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 154.05₽ · invest 244.58₽
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076779 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2475485 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 153.81₽ · invest 203.14₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477182 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 153.44₽ · invest 214.16₽
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build