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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +29.58₴

Invest 151.80₴

Average return 181.38₴

ROI +19.5%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 355.42 ₴, profit at most −174.04 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

63.94 ₴

at 63.94

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

68.08 ₴

at 9.73

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

19.78 ₴

at 9.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 151.80 ₴ +29.58 (+19.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

68.59 ₴

at 34.29

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

77.90 ₴

at 38.95

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

49.44 ₴

at 9.89

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

40.49 ₴

at 40.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.41 ₴ +3.84 (+1.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

34.29 ₴

at 34.29

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

63.94 ₴

at 63.94

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

38.90 ₴

at 9.73

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

39.55 ₴

at 9.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.69 ₴ +24.32 (+13.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.041975

210.45 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058839

229.06 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

79.90 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

237.22 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

173.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.044184

332.24 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

180.57 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.038293

1 083.94 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.036820

371.65 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.177557

90.09 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.87 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build