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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +31.38₽

Invest 681.53₽

Average return 712.91₽

ROI +4.6%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 1 568.92 ₽, profit at most −856.01 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

272.96 ₽

at 68.24

Steam

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

280.20 ₽

at 93.40

Steam

×3

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

128.37 ₽

at 42.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 681.53 ₽ +31.38 (+4.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3865

136.48 ₽

at 68.24

Steam

×7

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

598.36 ₽

at 85.48

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

42.66 ₽

at 42.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 777.50 ₽ +24.19 (+3.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

136.48 ₽

at 68.24

Steam

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

341.92 ₽

at 85.48

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

85.32 ₽

at 42.66

Steam

×2

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

85.58 ₽

at 42.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 649.30 ₽ +19.22 (+3.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 77%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

384.56 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 093.22 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

441.21 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

517.64 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

439.84 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

430.00 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −83.15 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6.23 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2475599 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 28.88₽ · invest 745.72₽
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested), MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384980 instead of 0.384014; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166364 instead of 0.163189
Craft 2479195 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 25.47₽ · invest 721.66₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384302 instead of 0.384014; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164136 instead of 0.163189

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build