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The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.51$

Invest 11.66$

Average return 14.17$

ROI +21.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 30.46 $, profit at most −16.30 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

0.42 $

at 0.42

Steam

×9

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

11.24 $

at 1.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.66 $ +2.51 (+21.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×7

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

2.93 $

at 0.42

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4653

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

1.25 $

at 1.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.49 $ +0.39 (+7.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.84 $

at 0.42

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1.35 $

at 0.45

Steam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4648

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

×4

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

5.00 $

at 1.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.04 $ +1.39 (+17.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17.66 $ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Vogue

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

3.94 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Field-Tested

float up to 0.182499

4.10 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

4.07 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2476966 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.67$ · invest 12.02$
Galil AR | Galigator (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486242 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 2.61$ · invest 12.51$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161563 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2480248 · The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.60$ · invest 11.70$
P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163026 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2475874 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.59$ · invest 11.82$
G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173664 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2484305 · The Genesis Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.57$ · invest 11.81$
UMP-45 | Continuum (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2477995 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.56$ · invest 11.85$
G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2483596 · The Gamma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.55$ · invest 12.49$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2469326 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.54$ · invest 11.79$
M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176174 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486218 · The Harlequin Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.54$ · invest 11.65$
M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173664 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2474419 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.52$ · invest 11.68$
Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166139 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486063 · The Harlequin Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.52$ · invest 11.69$
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161563 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2461431 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.51$ · invest 12.36$
Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2474420 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.49$ · invest 11.68$
Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested)
Craft 2474421 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.48$ · invest 11.68$
Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168776 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486299 · The Harlequin Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2.47$ · invest 11.70$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2479367 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.47$ · invest 12.36$
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166150 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486233 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.47$ · invest 11.65$
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486064 · The Harlequin Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.46$ · invest 11.69$
Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172735 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486308 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.46$ · invest 12.41$
MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172131 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486173 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 2.43$ · invest 11.94$
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2486352 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 13.76$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215
Craft 2457037 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.40$ · invest 12.65$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164544 instead of 0.177215

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build