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The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +137.18₴

Invest 252.64₴

Average return 389.82₴

ROI +54.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 608.24 ₴, profit at most −218.43 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

51.81 ₴

at 17.27

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

163.91 ₴

at 27.32

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

36.92 ₴

at 36.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 252.64 ₴ +137.18 (+54.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

69.07 ₴

at 17.27

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

13.95 ₴

at 13.95

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

136.59 ₴

at 27.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 219.61 ₴ +126.98 (+57.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

16.10 ₴

at 8.05

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

86.34 ₴

at 17.27

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

11.48 ₴

at 11.48

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

27.90 ₴

at 13.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.82 ₴ +75.11 (+53.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

366.87 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

603.53 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

821.78 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.05 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

60.97 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

63.65 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

146.91 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

61.26 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +77.58 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +110.76 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 30 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2494214 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 175.93₴ · invest 237.73₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2490467 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 173.50₴ · invest 258.17₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2487003 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 171.08₴ · invest 324.96₴
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2473903 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 170.97₴ · invest 306.93₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2492203 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 170.68₴ · invest 279.24₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2472978 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 168.02₴ · invest 249.50₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2493260 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.60₴ · invest 295.82₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2465942 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 163.21₴ · invest 323.85₴
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2467219 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 160.34₴ · invest 252.47₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2484142 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 158.97₴ · invest 270.57₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2494662 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 158.01₴ · invest 312.43₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2465943 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 155.67₴ · invest 261.08₴
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2461792 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 153.08₴ · invest 294.87₴
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2481710 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 152.96₴ · invest 242.67₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2478654 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 151.61₴ · invest 235.69₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2488272 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 151.43₴ · invest 240.02₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2486369 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.94₴ · invest 316.06₴
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075181 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075181 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2479915 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.50₴ · invest 314.05₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2491446 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 148.96₴ · invest 266.85₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2456552 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 147.49₴ · invest 253.99₴
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074010 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2491028 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 142.95₴ · invest 303.71₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2490468 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 142.49₴ · invest 217.65₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076010 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2461793 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 142.16₴ · invest 222.44₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2494383 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 141.95₴ · invest 256.32₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2475079 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 139.75₴ · invest 253.01₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2471833 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 139.05₴ · invest 194.71₴
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074044 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2486370 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 137.98₴ · invest 250.69₴
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075409 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2467221 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 132.47₴ · invest 226.23₴
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075680 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2490469 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 132.15₴ · invest 245.62₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2492205 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 131.97₴ · invest 256.16₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075273

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build