The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +31 322.87₸

Invest 176 290.98₸

Average return 207 613.85₸

ROI +17.8%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 388 713.00 ₸, profit at most −181 099.15 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −109 276 ₸

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −11 816.30 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17 801.28 ₸

at 17 801.28

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

57 842.73 ₸

at 28 921.36

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

100 646.97 ₸

at 50 323.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 176 290.98 ₸ +31 322.87 (+17.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 821 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

17 801.28 ₸

at 17 801.28

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

42 319.19 ₸

at 42 319.19

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

86 764.09 ₸

at 28 921.36

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 146 884.57 ₸ +22 140.11 (+15.1%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 49%
About break-even 4%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

216 138.02 ₸ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

256 586.12 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135 020.15 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

247 583.90 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

132 792.51 ₸ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

104 152.54 ₸ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

103 093.90 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

301 218.33 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

340 089.75 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

525 647.62 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

319 491.65 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

85 360.84 ₸ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

502 024.96 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

226 801.98 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

243 889.68 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

375 489.79 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

202 562.61 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

134 405.70 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

95 151.49 ₸ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

164 806.98 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

708 512.38 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

654 377.37 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

99 193.77 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

110 739.06 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

71 122.07 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

44 365.87 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

100 130.10 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36 107.12 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

37 095.97 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81 047.01 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

43 471.64 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

41 561.15 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

30 106.88 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

50 933.20 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

50 320.42 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 17 801.28 → 38 450.77 ₸

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) × 2 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 57 842.73 → 127 832.43 ₸

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) × 2 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 100 646.97 → 222 429.79 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 158.95 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26 200.67 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2496124 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 31 786.69₸ · invest 188 228.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 372 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496127 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 31 786.69₸ · invest 188 228.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 372 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496198 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 31 322.87₸ · invest 176 290.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −109 276 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2496106 · The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 31 298.67₸ · invest 185 714.00₸
profit on prices without salesat least −116 236 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496109 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 31 298.67₸ · invest 185 714.00₸
profit on prices without salesat least −116 236 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496086 · The Gallery Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 29 458.13₸ · invest 175 241.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −105 933 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172789 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077926 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496088 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 29 458.13₸ · invest 175 241.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −105 933 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172789 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077926 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496214 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 29 403.14₸ · invest 204 075.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −132 378 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165624 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496216 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 29 403.14₸ · invest 204 075.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −132 378 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165624 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.076306

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

More

How to build