The Shadow Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +345 430.23₸

Invest 1 156 669.37₸

Average return 1 502 099.60₸

ROI +29.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 2 709 692.70 ₸, profit at most −1 207 593.11 ₸

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 14.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −1 030 636.77 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

126 001.74 ₸

at 126 001.74

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

1 030 667.63 ₸

at 257 666.91

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 156 669.37 ₸ +345 430.23 (+29.9%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 65%
Above the Steam cap 15%

Order

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

721 497.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409 200.52 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

526 446.21 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301 210.43 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

724 731.93 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474 641.79 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

334 140.95 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

958 411.29 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

756 022.22 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

273 375.38 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 930 144.49 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 590 732.46 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

785 627.98 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 060 926.65 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 563 863.24 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 300 701.04 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 766 667.30 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

465 899.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

259 671.81 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

695 533.90 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

182 549.98 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

79 541.78 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

56 943.23 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

103 208.63 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

129 630.05 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

127 514.50 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 555.53 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Shadow Daggers | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

102 870.63 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 961.22 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 074.31 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers

no wear

37 061.24 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 126 001.74 → 272 163.76 ₸

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 4 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 1 030 667.63 → 2 437 528.94 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +326 540.04 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +336 121.72 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2496672 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 345 430.20₸ · invest 1 156 669.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2496657 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 342 054.52₸ · invest 1 178 035.41₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)
Craft 2496658 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 342 054.52₸ · invest 1 178 035.41₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build