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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +359.65₴

Invest 536.23₴

Average return 895.88₴

ROI +67.1%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 1 305.28 ₴, profit at most −409.41 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

91.15 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

413.99 ₴

at 82.80

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

31.09 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 536.23 ₴ +359.65 (+67.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

22.79 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×7

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

173.25 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

62.18 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 258.22 ₴ +125.07 (+48.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

593.03 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 026.29 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

692.53 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

276.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

875.07 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

388.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

245.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

50.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +212.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +295.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 36 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2505441 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 376.97₴ · invest 537.68₴
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506629 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 373.80₴ · invest 537.35₴
sells slowly

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074233 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003704 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506501 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 364.80₴ · invest 546.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506260 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 364.68₴ · invest 522.15₴
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506435 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 363.19₴ · invest 544.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077488 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006552 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506594 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 363.16₴ · invest 532.59₴
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506310 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 362.11₴ · invest 520.09₴
sells slowly

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005326 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506740 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 361.97₴ · invest 526.73₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506616 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 360.60₴ · invest 531.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076129 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005363 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506655 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 360.41₴ · invest 536.20₴
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506318 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 359.92₴ · invest 530.48₴
sells slowly

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506687 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 359.33₴ · invest 535.07₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506722 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 357.22₴ · invest 548.18₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506443 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 356.82₴ · invest 528.45₴
sells slowly

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076267 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005483 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506776 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 356.68₴ · invest 541.79₴
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2506218 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 356.51₴ · invest 545.30₴
sells slowly

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506526 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 355.48₴ · invest 517.64₴
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077776 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006804 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506325 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 355.46₴ · invest 549.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506372 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 355.28₴ · invest 516.66₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077656 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006699 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506129 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 355.24₴ · invest 536.23₴
sells slowly

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077736 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006769 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506414 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 354.39₴ · invest 518.61₴
sells slowly

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2506351 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 353.92₴ · invest 522.30₴
sells slowly

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074208 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003682 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506624 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 353.55₴ · invest 527.65₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506749 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 352.51₴ · invest 522.75₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506491 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 352.25₴ · invest 543.58₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2506758 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 352.04₴ · invest 528.17₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506667 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 350.75₴ · invest 522.23₴
sells slowly

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2506332 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 350.65₴ · invest 522.84₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2506677 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 349.73₴ · invest 521.86₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077833 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006854 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506286 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 349.03₴ · invest 539.40₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077708 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006745 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506279 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 348.95₴ · invest 531.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506426 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 348.55₴ · invest 540.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077779 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006807 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506362 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 344.12₴ · invest 539.28₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077943 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006950 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506543 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 340.70₴ · invest 526.15₴
sells slowly

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506842 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 340.01₴ · invest 570.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074675 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004090 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2506451 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 339.32₴ · invest 543.62₴
sells slowly

MP9 | Broken Record (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077943 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006950 instead of 0.006805

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build