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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −489.48₸

Invest at least 888.24₸

Average return 398.81₸

ROI −55.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 888.24 ₸, profit at most −489.48 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Negev | Bulkhead

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

20.99 ₸

at 20.99

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Stained

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

111.55 ₸

at 37.18

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

235.38 ₸

at 39.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 367.92 ₸ +30.89 (+8.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Negev | Bulkhead

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

83.95 ₸

at 20.99

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

58.33 ₸

at 29.17

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

156.92 ₸

at 39.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 299.20 ₸ +7.96 (+2.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

930.21 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.018666

403.27 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

105.53 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Acheron

Field-Tested

float up to 0.193666

446.65 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

195.18 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

212.72 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

221.44 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The 2021 Mirage Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20.07 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.48 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2514803 · The Ascent Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 29.81₸ · invest 360.49₸
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387748 instead of 0.384517; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.175457 instead of 0.164844
Craft 2534595 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 29.70₸ · invest 412.26₸
rare inputs

FAMAS | Halftone Wash (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Field-Tested)
Craft 2516101 · The Boreal Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 29.67₸ · invest 360.49₸
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385359 instead of 0.384517; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167609 instead of 0.164844
Craft 2536493 · The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 29.25₸ · invest 360.49₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384151 instead of 0.384517; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163641 instead of 0.164844
Craft 2536495 · The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 27.81₸ · invest 360.49₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387748 instead of 0.384517; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.175457 instead of 0.164844

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build