to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.78$

Invest 1.06$

Average return 1.84$

ROI +73.7%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 2.61 $, profit at most −0.78 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

0.24 $

at 0.05

Steam

×5

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

0.82 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1.06 $ +0.78 (+73.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

0.24 $

at 0.05

Steam

×4

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1737

0.66 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.92 $ +0.61 (+65.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

0.09 $

at 0.03

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

0.24 $

at 0.05

Steam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

0.33 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.66 $ +0.26 (+40.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

0.58 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.042168

0.29 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.042168

0.29 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.042168

0.26 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122409

3.45 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122409

5.74 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122409

3.01 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122409

3.28 $ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 only The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.38 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.64 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2516221 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.00$ · invest 1.12$
rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164330 instead of 0.174005
Craft 2514905 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.00$ · invest 1.13$
rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164330 instead of 0.174005
Craft 2514906 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 0.99$ · invest 1.12$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161574 instead of 0.174005
Craft 2534971 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 0.98$ · invest 1.11$
rare inputs

MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162390 instead of 0.174005
Craft 2510581 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 0.98$ · invest 1.11$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163966 instead of 0.174005
Craft 2539300 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.97$ · invest 1.11$
rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169725 instead of 0.174005

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build