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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −6.97$

Invest at least 13.61$

Average return 6.64$

ROI −51.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 13.61 $, profit at most −6.97 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4.56 $

at 0.51

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

0.75 $

at 0.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.31 $ +1.33 (+25.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 60%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.17 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

5.84 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

6.28 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Nitro

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

0.50 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Boreal Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2506824 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection · profit 1.41$ · invest 5.23$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New)
Craft 2506288 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 5.32$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077212 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2506508 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1.36$ · invest 6.03$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076243 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2506438 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 5.42$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.076934

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build