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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −11.37$

Invest at least 31.68$

Average return 20.31$

ROI −35.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 31.68 $, profit at most −11.37 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1.52 $

at 0.51

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

11.04 $

at 1.84

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

0.25 $

at 0.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.81 $ +7.50 (+58.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.51 $

at 0.51

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5.52 $

at 1.84

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.88 $

at 0.63

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

2.59 $

at 0.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.49 $ +4.75 (+45.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

13.17 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

45.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.38 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

9.07 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.01 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

16.51 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.18 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2506732 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 8.24$ · invest 13.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074603 instead of 0.075320; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004027 instead of 0.004655
Craft 2506579 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 7.88$ · invest 13.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075320; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003564 instead of 0.004655
Craft 2506243 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 7.48$ · invest 12.86$
sells slowly

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074603 instead of 0.075320; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004027 instead of 0.004655

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build