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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +134.37₴

Invest 404.17₴

Average return 538.54₴

ROI +33.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 947.29 ₴, profit at most −408.75 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

168.00 ₴

at 28.00

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

154.76 ₴

at 51.59

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

81.42 ₴

at 81.42

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 404.17 ₴ +134.37 (+33.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

140.00 ₴

at 28.00

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

154.76 ₴

at 51.59

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

162.83 ₴

at 81.42

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 457.59 ₴ +125.90 (+27.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −265 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

65.98 ₴

at 32.99

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

51.59 ₴

at 51.59

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

569.91 ₴

at 81.42

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 687.48 ₴ +120.74 (+17.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −218 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

98.98 ₴

at 32.99

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

51.59 ₴

at 51.59

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

488.49 ₴

at 81.42

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 639.05 ₴ +124.22 (+19.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 68%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

worst

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

180.12 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.059230

373.63 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.052769

253.37 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.059230

1 463.45 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Carved Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

1 472.09 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117230

494.42 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Dusk Ruins

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

1 923.05 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

448.47 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Inferno Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +31.87 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79.32 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build