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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −56.11₴

Invest at least 144.90₴

Average return 88.79₴

ROI −38.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 144.90 ₴, profit at most −56.11 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

21.32 ₴

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

11.91 ₴

at 5.96

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | Heist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

29.73 ₴

at 29.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.96 ₴ +25.83 (+41.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

9.14 ₴

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

23.83 ₴

at 5.96

souvenirSteam

×3

Dual Berettas | Heist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

89.18 ₴

at 29.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 122.14 ₴ +11.21 (+9.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

15.23 ₴

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

17.87 ₴

at 5.96

souvenirSteam

×2

Dual Berettas | Heist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

59.45 ₴

at 29.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.55 ₴ +18.52 (+20.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.70 ₴

at 2.70

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

29.79 ₴

at 5.96

souvenirSteam

×4

Dual Berettas | Heist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

118.91 ₴

at 29.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 151.39 ₴ +4.24 (+2.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

58.30 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69.80 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112.57 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

65.27 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Vault Heist

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

406.16 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rust Coat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

255.38 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

366.84 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Houndstooth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302.51 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Havoc Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.37 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.99 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Havoc Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Havoc Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build