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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +63.58₴

Invest 70.98₴

Average return 134.56₴

ROI +89.6%

Chance of profit 85%

With float: invest at least 179.31 ₴, profit at most −44.76 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

11.91 ₴

at 5.96

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

59.07 ₴

at 7.38

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 70.98 ₴ +63.58 (+89.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

12.18 ₴

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

11.91 ₴

at 5.96

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1734

29.53 ₴

at 7.38

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 53.63 ₴ +46.90 (+87.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 15%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

155.34 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

258.47 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

135.67 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

147.73 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

58.30 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69.80 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112.57 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

65.27 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 only The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +33.96 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +52.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2507408 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 61.96₴ · invest 76.05₴
rare inputs

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170180 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2511494 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 61.15₴ · invest 85.92₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear), Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161624 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2539338 · The Overpass Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 61.05₴ · invest 62.02₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2527913 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 60.98₴ · invest 62.28₴
rare inputs

P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2539405 · The Overpass Collection + The Train Collection · profit 60.54₴ · invest 63.17₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2514901 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 60.44₴ · invest 62.24₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166379 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2534968 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 60.42₴ · invest 62.02₴
rare inputs

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166252 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2527914 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 60.42₴ · invest 62.28₴
rare inputs

P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2516216 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 60.27₴ · invest 62.07₴
rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161681 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2514903 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 52.34₴ · invest 56.44₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163536 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2516218 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 52.27₴ · invest 56.19₴
rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163536 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2534970 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 52.27₴ · invest 55.98₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163493 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2516219 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 52.10₴ · invest 56.19₴
rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167348 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2510580 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 52.05₴ · invest 55.98₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170541 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2514904 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 51.92₴ · invest 56.44₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166431 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2516220 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 51.85₴ · invest 56.04₴
rare inputs

FAMAS | Palm (Minimal Wear), M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161941 instead of 0.165883
Craft 2539297 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 51.82₴ · invest 56.03₴
rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163368 instead of 0.165883

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build