to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +1.32$

Invest 1.80$

Average return 3.12$

ROI +73.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 4.45 $, profit at most −1.33 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

0.13 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

1.31 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

0.36 $

at 0.36

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1.80 $ +1.32 (+73.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

0.54 $

at 0.07

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

0.13 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

0.16 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.84 $ +0.34 (+40.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

0.47 $

at 0.07

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

0.13 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

0.33 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.93 $ +0.49 (+52.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

0.41 $

at 0.07

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

0.13 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

0.49 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1.03 $ +0.63 (+61.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.45 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.74 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.01 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.28 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

1.30 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

0.78 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

0.77 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.057162

1.45 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 only The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2537299 · The Lake Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.71$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074933 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2534969 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163023 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074529 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2510578 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165284 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075316 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2505879 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2516214 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Palm (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161613 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074039 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2516215 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165284 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075316 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2539339 · The Overpass Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2514902 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162173 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074234 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2537300 · The Lake Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.71$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2516217 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168697 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076503 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2506605 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.72$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169321 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076720 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2539295 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165225 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075295 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2539296 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162140 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2510579 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.33$ · invest 1.70$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169488 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076778 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2536475 · The Italy Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.33$ · invest 1.72$
rare inputs

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074933 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2536476 · The Italy Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.33$ · invest 1.72$
rare inputs

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2515640 · The Bank Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.33$ · invest 1.72$
rare inputs

Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168684 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076498 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2512308 · The Anubis Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1.30$ · invest 1.79$
rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Hieroglyph (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163735 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074777 instead of 0.076674

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build