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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −102.65₽

Invest at least 204.82₽

Average return 102.17₽

ROI −50.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 204.82 ₽, profit at most −102.65 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

25.49 ₽

at 25.49

souvenirSteam

×5

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

19.50 ₽

at 3.90

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

42.96 ₽

at 10.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.95 ₽ +14.22 (+16.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

50.98 ₽

at 25.49

souvenirSteam

×3

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

11.70 ₽

at 3.90

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

53.70 ₽

at 10.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.38 ₽ +12.15 (+10.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

76.47 ₽

at 25.49

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

3.90 ₽

at 3.90

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

64.44 ₽

at 10.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.81 ₽ +10.08 (+7.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

73.91 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

120.34 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

74.33 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

80.16 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071428

243.80 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078571

271.65 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

472.53 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078571

573.22 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.09 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build