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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −23 563.01₽

Invest at least 65 126.31₽

Average return 41 563.30₽

ROI −36.2%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 65 126.31 ₽, profit at most −23 563.01 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 907 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +4 265.41 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

13 090.70 ₽

at 13 090.70

souvenirSteam

×9

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

14 011.56 ₽

at 1 556.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 102.26 ₽ +14 461.04 (+53.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 448 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

39 272.10 ₽

at 13 090.70

souvenirSteam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

6 227.36 ₽

at 1 556.84

Steam

×3

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

7 535.52 ₽

at 2 511.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53 034.98 ₽ +1 949.00 (+3.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 200 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

26 181.40 ₽

at 13 090.70

souvenirSteam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

10 897.88 ₽

at 1 556.84

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2 511.84 ₽

at 2 511.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39 591.12 ₽ +8 682.52 (+21.9%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 761.62 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

20 400.20 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Desert Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

104 037.09 ₽ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 146.45 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10 170.42 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2510081 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 15 283.98₽ · invest 26 057.35₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 084 ₽ marketplace price rare inputs

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075254 instead of 0.075028

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build