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The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −76.19$

Invest at least 423.08$

Average return 346.89$

ROI −18.0%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 423.08 $, profit at most −76.19 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −175 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

71.36 $

at 11.89

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

103.15 $

at 25.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.52 $ +172.38 (+98.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −375 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

23.79 $

at 11.89

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

128.94 $

at 25.79

Steam

×3

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

222.46 $

at 74.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 375.19 $ +116.35 (+31.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

666.45 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

630.41 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

79.66 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

77.86 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

540.24 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Arabesque Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +103.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +162.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build