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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +171.77$

Invest 673.85$

Average return 845.61$

ROI +25.5%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 1 683.72 $, profit at most −838.11 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −657 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

621.19 $

at 103.53

souvenirSteam

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

52.66 $

at 13.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 673.85 $ +171.77 (+25.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −214 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3859

87.43 $

at 87.43

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

103.53 $

at 103.53

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

5.76 $

at 5.76

Steam

×7

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

51.36 $

at 7.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.08 $ +61.84 (+24.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −108 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3852

87.43 $

at 87.43

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

28.78 $

at 5.76

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

29.35 $

at 7.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.56 $ +30.44 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 140 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

414.13 $

at 103.53

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

717.41 $

at 143.48

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

13.16 $

at 13.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 144.70 $ +102.68 (+9.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −826 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

517.66 $

at 103.53

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

286.97 $

at 143.48

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

7.34 $

at 7.34

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

26.33 $

at 13.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 838.29 $ +141.25 (+16.9%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 588.50 $ 60.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171874

50.06 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093749

46.71 $ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The CS20 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −97.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +158.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 26 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2509733 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 201.70$ · invest 650.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −627 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested), R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162394 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509462 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 195.15$ · invest 683.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −660 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165752 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509595 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 192.87$ · invest 651.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −636 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161720 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509696 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 192.05$ · invest 674.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −637 $ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164405 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509937 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 189.73$ · invest 689.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −639 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166353 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509781 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 188.30$ · invest 655.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −640 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161771 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509409 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 187.99$ · invest 656.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −641 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)
Craft 2509143 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 186.46$ · invest 660.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −642 $ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165392 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509809 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 184.37$ · invest 659.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −644 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear), AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161916 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509243 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 183.00$ · invest 657.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −646 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear), AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161645 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509325 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 181.63$ · invest 674.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −647 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162125 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509208 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 179.91$ · invest 696.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −649 $ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162259 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509127 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 178.61$ · invest 723.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −650 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164405 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509224 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 169.82$ · invest 712.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −712 $ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166524 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509385 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 168.70$ · invest 678.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −660 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162125 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509828 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 168.52$ · invest 570.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −522 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168225 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509711 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 167.76$ · invest 682.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −661 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162125 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509829 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 166.85$ · invest 569.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −524 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168014 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509895 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 166.28$ · invest 677.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −662 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162031 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509782 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 161.05$ · invest 554.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −530 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165546 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509443 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 160.18$ · invest 586.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −530 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163207 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509192 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 160.16$ · invest 589.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −530 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161512 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509916 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 158.69$ · invest 581.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −532 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163207 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2510024 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 157.15$ · invest 575.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −576 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163207 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509712 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 154.33$ · invest 565.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −536 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.166052
Craft 2509938 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 154.10$ · invest 602.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −537 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164615 instead of 0.166052

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build