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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −15 857.01₸

Invest at least 82 030.27₸

Average return 66 173.26₸

ROI −19.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 82 030.27 ₸, profit at most −15 857.01 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

7 712.37 ₸

at 7 712.37

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

24 856.10 ₸

at 2 761.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 568.47 ₸ +33 604.80 (+103.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 312 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

34 667.17 ₸

at 8 666.79

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

5 523.58 ₸

at 2 761.79

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2566

13 668.49 ₸

at 3 417.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53 859.24 ₸ +7 127.74 (+13.2%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

40 018.98 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116 155.66 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Victoria

Factory New

float up to 0.065624

58 206.63 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 only The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24 357.04 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31 363.49 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2539905 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 36 215.09₸ · invest 27 480.61₸
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.166058
Craft 2540692 · The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 34 939.87₸ · invest 32 335.99₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn) instead of CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.166058

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build