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The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +103.61₴

Invest 255.27₴

Average return 358.88₴

ROI +40.6%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 630.51 ₴, profit at most −271.63 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

184.02 ₴

at 23.00

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

40.16 ₴

at 40.16

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

31.09 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 255.27 ₴ +103.61 (+40.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

30.76 ₴

at 10.25

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

20.91 ₴

at 20.91

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

155.44 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 231.86 ₴ +28.70 (+12.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

10.25 ₴

at 10.25

Steam

×2

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

41.82 ₴

at 20.91

Steam

×6

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

148.50 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

31.09 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 231.67 ₴ +9.23 (+4.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

20.50 ₴

at 10.25

Steam

×3

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

62.73 ₴

at 20.91

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

124.35 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 232.34 ₴ +47.88 (+20.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

645.95 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

224.70 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

276.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

85.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

388.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

245.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

50.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +60.14 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +87.05 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2515065 · The Ascent Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 110.21₴ · invest 241.78₴
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514620 · The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 110.06₴ · invest 235.69₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074692 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004105 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514892 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 109.66₴ · invest 251.62₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514810 · The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 108.47₴ · invest 236.68₴
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074780 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004182 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2515077 · The Ascent Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 107.55₴ · invest 247.20₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514680 · The Ascent Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 106.64₴ · invest 237.64₴
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2514713 · The Ascent Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 106.17₴ · invest 248.93₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074715 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004126 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2515052 · The Ascent Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 105.37₴ · invest 245.76₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514565 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 105.05₴ · invest 249.52₴
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514580 · The Ascent Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 104.75₴ · invest 241.88₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2514984 · The Ascent Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 104.72₴ · invest 240.89₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074822 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004219 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514969 · The Ascent Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 104.69₴ · invest 241.26₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2514780 · The Ascent Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 104.05₴ · invest 265.09₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514512 · The Ascent Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 102.33₴ · invest 250.06₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514928 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 101.40₴ · invest 246.68₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074715 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004126 instead of 0.004183
Craft 2514995 · The Ascent Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 99.96₴ · invest 254.11₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074627 instead of 0.074781; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004048 instead of 0.004183

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build