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The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −93.89₴

Invest at least 272.97₴

Average return 179.08₴

ROI −34.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 272.97 ₴, profit at most −93.89 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

65.29 ₴

at 8.16

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

17.00 ₴

at 17.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

31.09 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.38 ₴ +65.70 (+58.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

57.13 ₴

at 8.16

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

17.00 ₴

at 17.00

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

49.50 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.63 ₴ +55.76 (+45.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 51%
Losing outcome 49%

in profit

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

313.29 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078358

97.87 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.062686

276.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104477

85.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.054328

388.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.052238

245.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.193283

50.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +36.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +51.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2515765 · The Boreal Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 64.42₴ · invest 108.17₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076947; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.005894 instead of 0.006078
Craft 2516249 · The Boreal Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 61.81₴ · invest 104.79₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076857 instead of 0.076947; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.006000 instead of 0.006078
Craft 2516134 · The Boreal Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 60.48₴ · invest 103.29₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074331 instead of 0.076947; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.003789 instead of 0.006078

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build