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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +8.53₴

Invest 75.82₴

Average return 84.35₴

ROI +11.2%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 180.65 ₴, profit at most −96.31 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

25.88 ₴

at 25.88

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

39.25 ₴

at 4.91

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

10.69 ₴

at 10.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.82 ₴ +8.53 (+11.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

96.32 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

79.79 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

125.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

84.63 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

77.45 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

138.67 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

122.48 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

146.21 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

130.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.62 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.52 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2525817 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 7.84₴ · invest 74.69₴
rare inputs

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164514; Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075048

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build