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The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −7 743.31₴

Invest at least 22 504.07₴

Average return 14 760.76₴

ROI −34.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 22 504.07 ₴, profit at most −7 743.31 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 061 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 013.64 ₴

at 1 013.64

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

6 820.33 ₴

at 852.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 226.83 ₴

at 1 226.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 060.80 ₴ +5 699.96 (+62.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 222 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2 027.28 ₴

at 1 013.64

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5 967.79 ₴

at 852.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 226.83 ₴

at 1 226.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 221.90 ₴ +5 435.05 (+58.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 383 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 040.92 ₴

at 1 013.64

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5 115.25 ₴

at 852.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 226.83 ₴

at 1 226.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 383.00 ₴ +5 170.14 (+55.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 866 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

6 081.84 ₴

at 1 013.64

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2 557.62 ₴

at 852.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 226.83 ₴

at 1 226.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 866.29 ₴ +4 375.42 (+44.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 007.70 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 180.81 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

11 876.34 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

19 924.54 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 989.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 778.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528344 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 6 008.57₴ · invest 8 849.05₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 849 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2528147 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 5 926.41₴ · invest 8 502.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 320 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2521441 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 5 814.21₴ · invest 8 723.61₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 724 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003569 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2528789 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 5 772.99₴ · invest 8 845.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 845 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076567 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005746 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2528229 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 5 748.65₴ · invest 8 715.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 716 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2528650 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5 625.26₴ · invest 8 374.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 374 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2528550 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 5 576.51₴ · invest 8 774.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 774 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2526848 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 5 450.10₴ · invest 8 422.05₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 928 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2528205 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 5 448.95₴ · invest 8 871.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 929 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build