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The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −46 614.40₸

Invest at least 90 322.74₸

Average return 43 708.34₸

ROI −51.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 90 322.74 ₸, profit at most −46 614.40 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

11 547.78 ₸

at 11 547.78

Steam

×8

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

21 094.25 ₸

at 2 636.78

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

4 974.74 ₸

at 4 974.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37 616.77 ₸ +6 091.57 (+16.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10 301.95 ₸

at 10 301.95

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

11 547.78 ₸

at 11 547.78

Steam

×8

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

21 094.25 ₸

at 2 636.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 943.98 ₸ +5 209.36 (+12.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AK-47 | The Oligarch

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

49 811.48 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | Full Throttle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

40 494.25 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 471.74 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128799

95 068.62 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +419.96 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 593.96 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2533149 · The Genesis Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 6 050.76₸ · invest 41 651.88₸
rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165509 instead of 0.163885; Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075394 instead of 0.074829
Craft 2533785 · The Genesis Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 5 685.64₸ · invest 35 815.43₸
rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.163885; Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build