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The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −318.81₴

Invest at least 621.68₴

Average return 302.87₴

ROI −51.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 621.68 ₴, profit at most −318.81 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

25.88 ₴

at 25.88

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

121.58 ₴

at 20.26

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

115.32 ₴

at 38.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.78 ₴ +40.09 (+15.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

22.23 ₴

at 22.23

Steam

×5

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

129.41 ₴

at 25.88

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

9.92 ₴

at 9.92

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

60.79 ₴

at 20.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.35 ₴ +1.21 (+0.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

374.19 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

358.88 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

138.67 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

320.79 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

146.21 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

130.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.85 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.37 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2535115 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 43.19₴ · invest 259.92₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 2535033 · The Harlequin Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 41.90₴ · invest 253.98₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077368 instead of 0.077106; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.006447 instead of 0.006218
Craft 2535046 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 40.88₴ · invest 253.61₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077438 instead of 0.077106; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.006508 instead of 0.006218

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build