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The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −199.60₴

Invest at least 360.17₴

Average return 160.57₴

ROI −55.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 360.17 ₴, profit at most −199.60 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

22.23 ₴

at 22.23

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

20.38 ₴

at 10.19

Steam

×7

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

104.76 ₴

at 14.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.36 ₴ +13.21 (+9.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.148749

172.93 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143499

207.25 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

193.47 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

120.10 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

105.13 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

146.21 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.09 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2532663 · The Gamma Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 13.18₴ · invest 146.81₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2517727 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 12.65₴ · invest 147.36₴
P250 | Supernova: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074712 instead of 0.074233; Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163547 instead of 0.162170; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163547 instead of 0.162170
Craft 2525201 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 11.94₴ · invest 142.29₴
SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162607 instead of 0.162170; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162607 instead of 0.162170
Craft 2538963 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 11.90₴ · invest 151.94₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167186 instead of 0.162170; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167186 instead of 0.162170

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build