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The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −17 787.55₸

Invest at least 196 678.25₸

Average return 178 890.65₸

ROI −9.0%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 196 678.25 ₸, profit at most −17 787.55 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 996 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

11 547.78 ₸

at 11 547.78

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

10 041.18 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

58 644.72 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80 233.67 ₸ +98 656.97 (+123.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 928 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

23 095.55 ₸

at 11 547.78

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

10 041.18 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

50 266.90 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83 403.63 ₸ +86 823.56 (+104.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 089 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

72 113.67 ₸

at 10 301.95

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

23 095.55 ₸

at 11 547.78

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

5 020.59 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100 229.82 ₸ +9 353.12 (+9.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 010 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

57 738.89 ₸

at 11 547.78

Steam

×4

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

20 082.35 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

8 377.82 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86 199.06 ₸ +58 037.76 (+67.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 291 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

51 509.77 ₸

at 10 301.95

Steam

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

34 643.33 ₸

at 11 547.78

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

10 041.18 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96 194.28 ₸ +22 052.12 (+22.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

321 594.98 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

109 779.52 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

97 471.74 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

134 643.05 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Falchion Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +63 597.77 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +75 122.73 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2540745 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 103 485.90₸ · invest 72 103.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 053 ₸ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161898 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2533117 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 100 769.18₸ · invest 75 694.23₸
profit on prices without salesat least −73 382 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162207 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2537267 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 100 370.63₸ · invest 72 204.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −68 428 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162410 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074316 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2522362 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 100 263.91₸ · invest 78 011.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 815 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162466 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074336 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2519204 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 100 174.70₸ · invest 73 129.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −68 624 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2543763 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 100 046.84₸ · invest 80 931.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −79 261 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162361 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074299 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2524381 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 99 468.82₸ · invest 72 905.86₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 330 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162384 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2541806 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 99 222.86₸ · invest 73 613.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 576 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162480 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074340 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2541432 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 99 159.91₸ · invest 72 917.10₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 976 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162429 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2530728 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 98 908.04₸ · invest 72 648.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 891 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2543398 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 98 794.68₸ · invest 76 372.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 840 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2539872 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 98 783.59₸ · invest 74 688.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −70 015 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)
Craft 2536401 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 97 252.67₸ · invest 85 186.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 546 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2525763 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 96 607.71₸ · invest 74 633.04₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 191 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2523211 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 95 846.65₸ · invest 78 960.84₸
profit on prices without salesat least −78 961 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162361 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074299 instead of 0.074142

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build