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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.42$

Invest 11.43$

Average return 13.85$

ROI +21.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 27.98 $, profit at most −14.14 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

1.92 $

at 1.92

Steam

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

7.68 $

at 0.96

Steam

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

1.83 $

at 1.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.43 $ +2.42 (+21.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

27.61 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.35 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.26 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15.47 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234999

13.67 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

14.68 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.91 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526312 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 2.48$ · invest 10.81$
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2510319 · The Achroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2.35$ · invest 11.71$
Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.168399; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build