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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +67 590.26₸

Invest 157 165.87₸

Average return 224 756.13₸

ROI +43.0%

Chance of profit 85%

With float: invest at least 382 812.82 ₸, profit at most −158 056.69 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −157 166 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

34 667.23 ₸

at 11 555.74

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

8 590.59 ₸

at 8 590.59

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

113 908.05 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157 165.87 ₸ +67 590.26 (+43.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −114 091 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

69 334.45 ₸

at 11 555.74

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

25 771.78 ₸

at 8 590.59

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

18 984.67 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114 090.91 ₸ +64 223.03 (+56.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −202 411 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

11 555.74 ₸

at 11 555.74

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

151 877.40 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

38 977.64 ₸

at 38 977.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 202 410.78 ₸ +53 306.80 (+26.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 565 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

30 160.66 ₸

at 7 540.16

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

46 222.97 ₸

at 11 555.74

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

17 181.19 ₸

at 8 590.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93 564.81 ₸ +53 787.62 (+57.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 15%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

226 093.82 ₸ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

397 662.29 ₸ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

74 261.89 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.069299

193 437.37 ₸ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +47 384.20 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +65 082.04 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528726 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 79 356.93₸ · invest 118 632.50₸
profit on prices without salesat least −118 633 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162965 instead of 0.164443; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2541154 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 68 173.60₸ · invest 142 414.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −121 665 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164081 instead of 0.164443; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074897 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2530482 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 67 053.10₸ · invest 138 772.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −134 575 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162683 instead of 0.164443; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2536966 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 64 895.30₸ · invest 152 086.36₸
profit on prices without salesat least −142 433 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163909 instead of 0.164443; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2542497 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 64 524.36₸ · invest 165 888.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −165 888 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163174 instead of 0.164443; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074582 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2524091 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 63 096.18₸ · invest 140 594.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −126 743 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163663 instead of 0.164443; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074752 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2517935 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 62 292.37₸ · invest 182 419.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −182 419 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2539617 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 61 467.03₸ · invest 171 626.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −171 626 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2532186 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 61 361.01₸ · invest 161 181.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −161 182 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164583 instead of 0.164443; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075072 instead of 0.075023

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build