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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −63.27$

Invest at least 108.04$

Average return 44.77$

ROI −58.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 108.04 $, profit at most −63.27 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

4.95 $

at 4.95

Steam

×9

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4775

37.02 $

at 4.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.96 $ +2.81 (+6.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 50%

about break-even

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

47.78 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

56.12 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342499

50.06 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.224999

44.48 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526450 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3.08$ · invest 40.35$
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481853 instead of 0.477565
Craft 2525800 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2.91$ · invest 43.87$
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481853 instead of 0.477565
Craft 2526409 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.91$ · invest 40.99$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481853 instead of 0.477565
Craft 2526410 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.79$ · invest 40.99$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478730 instead of 0.477565

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build