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The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −224.06₴

Invest at least 504.03₴

Average return 279.98₴

ROI −44.5%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 504.03 ₴, profit at most −224.06 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

29.00 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

169.86 ₴

at 21.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198.86 ₴ +81.11 (+40.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

43.57 ₴

at 8.71

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

43.50 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

42.47 ₴

at 21.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.53 ₴ +28.68 (+22.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

14.50 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

127.40 ₴

at 21.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

94.76 ₴

at 31.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.66 ₴ +63.61 (+26.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

17.43 ₴

at 8.71

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

43.50 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

18.42 ₴

at 18.42

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

84.93 ₴

at 21.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 164.27 ₴ +54.81 (+33.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

166.74 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

200.92 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 020.06 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

366.15 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

89.36 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

66.47 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

158.03 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121153

92.11 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

202.18 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

157.50 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 only The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +43.80 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +78.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526830 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 85.26₴ · invest 178.17₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.161902
Craft 2524742 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 73.92₴ · invest 185.39₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.161902; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.161902

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build