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The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +129.64₸

Invest 1 045.05₸

Average return 1 174.68₸

ROI +12.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 2 682.74 ₸, profit at most −1 508.05 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Modest Threat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

139.86 ₸

at 139.86

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

905.19 ₸

at 100.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 045.05 ₸ +129.64 (+12.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 268.11 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

912.88 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261428

1 179.53 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139285

441.27 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

488.51 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

float up to 0.192857

269.06 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085714

571.39 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

366.09 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.20 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +73.29 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2531562 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 130.74₸ · invest 1 065.23₸
MP5-SD | Statics (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164140 instead of 0.169272
Craft 2539755 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 123.07₸ · invest 1 128.67₸
UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164220 instead of 0.169272
Craft 2543580 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 121.47₸ · invest 1 030.63₸
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162348 instead of 0.169272

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build