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The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +371.63₴

Invest 599.79₴

Average return 971.43₴

ROI +62.0%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 531.89 ₴, profit at most −560.46 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Modest Threat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

13.94 ₴

at 13.94

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

36.24 ₴

at 36.24

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

549.62 ₴

at 68.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 599.79 ₴ +371.63 (+62.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Danger Close

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

17.16 ₴

at 17.16

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

99.20 ₴

at 19.84

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

72.48 ₴

at 36.24

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

137.40 ₴

at 68.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 326.24 ₴ +173.64 (+53.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.037888

387.25 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

2 993.05 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.052888

1 396.58 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

125.50 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

101.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

107.62 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

234.60 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

107.26 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

154.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +161.80 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +274.33 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 24 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2534846 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 390.18₴ · invest 634.57₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2538193 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 388.59₴ · invest 624.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2537372 · The Lake Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 386.66₴ · invest 606.86₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163661 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074751 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2543660 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 385.97₴ · invest 651.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2540624 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 383.83₴ · invest 601.96₴
rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163171 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074581 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2543498 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 383.00₴ · invest 606.00₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2536310 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 381.65₴ · invest 648.78₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2513192 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 381.54₴ · invest 605.76₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2536565 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 381.45₴ · invest 615.79₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167286 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076012 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2534386 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 381.39₴ · invest 628.02₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2543644 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 380.31₴ · invest 626.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2533725 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 377.04₴ · invest 590.42₴
rare inputs

P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2512564 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 376.98₴ · invest 639.97₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2543637 · The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 376.41₴ · invest 616.37₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166940 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075892 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2528055 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 376.37₴ · invest 593.05₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2542361 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 375.81₴ · invest 619.82₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166940 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075892 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2529782 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 375.02₴ · invest 592.85₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164095 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2538880 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 374.66₴ · invest 628.14₴
rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164540 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075057 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2515750 · The Bank Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 374.31₴ · invest 599.71₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2524263 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 372.95₴ · invest 595.73₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164149 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074921 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2542981 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 372.73₴ · invest 602.55₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163569 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2542786 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 365.61₴ · invest 619.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2543686 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 355.49₴ · invest 676.47₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169802 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076887 instead of 0.075596
Craft 2508930 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 352.62₴ · invest 688.35₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166796 instead of 0.166090; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075842 instead of 0.075596

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build