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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +285.27₴

Invest 584.84₴

Average return 870.11₴

ROI +48.8%

Chance of profit 58%

With float: invest at least 1 489.03 ₴, profit at most −618.92 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

20.73 ₴

at 20.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

39.08 ₴

at 39.08

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

525.04 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 584.84 ₴ +285.27 (+48.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

320.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

867.57 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

1 020.06 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

366.15 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 656.75 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

690.84 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

423.64 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

989.63 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

484.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

363.83 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 only The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +103.97 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +270.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528897 · The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 302.65₴ · invest 641.78₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075635 instead of 0.074673; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004930 instead of 0.004088
Craft 2528260 · The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 283.03₴ · invest 588.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2528556 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 273.87₴ · invest 599.64₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074968 instead of 0.074673; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004347 instead of 0.004088

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build