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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +845.94₸

Invest 18 849.07₸

Average return 19 695.01₸

ROI +4.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 48 574.00 ₸, profit at most −28 879.00 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4818

16 723.45 ₸

at 1 858.16

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

2 125.61 ₸

at 2 125.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 849.07 ₸ +845.94 (+4.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

21 587.98 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

25 355.27 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

15 591.07 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

14 904.90 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 838.95 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −26.42 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2525944 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 916.70₸ · invest 19 145.04₸
P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477565 instead of 0.481853
Craft 2518309 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 854.04₸ · invest 19 037.41₸
rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479368 instead of 0.481853

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build