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The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −17.87$

Invest at least 46.44$

Average return 28.57$

ROI −38.5%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 46.44 $, profit at most −17.87 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

16.46 $

at 1.83

Steam

×1

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

1.46 $

at 1.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.92 $ +10.65 (+59.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1727

1.92 $

at 0.96

Steam

×4

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

7.32 $

at 1.83

Steam

×4

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

5.83 $

at 1.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.07 $ +7.50 (+49.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

0.96 $

at 0.96

Steam

×4

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

2.70 $

at 0.68

Steam

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

7.29 $

at 1.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.95 $ +1.61 (+14.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

2.88 $

at 0.96

Steam

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

3.66 $

at 1.83

Steam

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

7.29 $

at 1.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.83 $ +6.74 (+48.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60.02 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.83 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.63 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.053899

14.91 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

6.72 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.78 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.60 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526437 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 11.39$ · invest 17.32$
MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075527 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2525790 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 11.17$ · invest 17.71$
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2526599 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11.09$ · invest 18.84$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2525861 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 10.98$ · invest 18.12$
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2523275 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 10.96$ · invest 18.04$
rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2526634 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 10.88$ · invest 19.12$
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2526566 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10.67$ · invest 18.32$
rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New)
Craft 2526155 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 10.66$ · invest 18.00$
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076794 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2518293 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 10.56$ · invest 18.98$
rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076765
Craft 2526341 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 10.41$ · invest 17.98$
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076765

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build