to all crafts

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3.08$

Invest 10.10$

Average return 13.17$

ROI +30.5%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 25.87 $, profit at most −12.69 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

8.64 $

at 0.96

Steam

×1

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1.46 $

at 1.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.10 $ +3.08 (+30.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

27.61 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.35 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.26 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

8.90 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

5.74 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.88 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.77 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526343 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 3.00$ · invest 10.16$
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165367 instead of 0.165842
Craft 2523276 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2.90$ · invest 10.21$
rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165701 instead of 0.165842
Craft 2525966 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 2.85$ · invest 10.95$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165477 instead of 0.165842

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build